FanSided’s Super Bowl 55 betting guide is now live.
The big game is finally here as the Kansas City Chiefs face off with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl 55. There are plenty of story angles worth exploring in this game, like whether Tom Brady can outduel Patrick Mahomes for another ring, but there are also a lot of bets you can make on the action.
Kansas City Chiefs (16-2) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (14-5)
The spread for the Super Bowl sees the Chiefs laying three points against the Buccaneers. If that number sounds familiar it is because these teams also played back in Week 12, with Kansas City winning by three in a 27-24 victory at Tampa Bay.
It is important to note that the game wasn’t as close as the final score indicated, with Kansas City jumping out to a 27-10 lead before a late Buccaneers’ surge closed the gap. The Chiefs are the superior team and three points isn’t a lot to lay so Kansas City is the smarter bet to make there.
The over/under total for this game is sky-high at 56.5 points, which makes sense since these two teams feature explosive offenses. The Week 12 meeting produced 51 points while the teams combined for 69 points on Championship Weekend, making the over a wise choice given the amount of firepower on each offense.
The Money Line
The money line is predictably tight with the Chiefs as -176 favorites and the Buccaneers as +148 underdogs. Neither is particularly attractive unless you feel strongly on an outcome, making it a bet you’d have to drop a lot of money on to try and turn a profit.
We’ll focus on game-specific props here, including the coin toss, which is -103 either way for the actual call of heads or tails and -105 either way on if it is called correctly. A true dice roll of a prop bet, this is one better made with friends.
Another one to watch is the winning margin, which offers good payouts with the Chiefs sitting at +330 to win by 1-6 points or +490 for a 7-12 point victory. The margins are also profitable on the Buccaneers as well, with a 1-6 point victory checking in at +400 while a 7-12 point margin is +700.
The MVP prop bet market is stacked towards the quarterbacks, with Mahomes a staggering -105 favorite while Brady is the clear second choice at +220. A sleeper value here could be Chiefs’ wide receiver Tyreek Hill, who is +1400 but recorded a 13/269/3 line in Tampa back in Week 12. A stellar performance from Hill could result in an MVP payout at a nice price.
The anytime TD scorer props are also interesting since both Hill (-150) and Travis Kelce (-155) are heavy favorites. Values can be had with Tom Brady’s intermediate weapons like Rob Gronkowski (+220), Cameron Brate (+260), Scotty Miller (+370) and Tyler Johnson (+500). Brady himself is at +410 which isn’t a bad buy given his notable history for trying to sneak the ball quickly at the one-yard line.
The best strategy with the props is to lock in your numbers early, particularly when it comes to things like yardage totals and touchdowns. Early action can push those lines up to ridiculous levels and can make the difference between winning or losing the bet.